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Team-list/conditions update: tip now Roosters by around 4.

Round 21McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Knights

11-8

22–23

Roosters

βœ“

13-5

Our PickLine-Ball

Roosters - too close to call

Projected total ~47 ptsβœ“ Landed

Knights

🌧️

Handle the wet - 2 from 2 in rain or heavy conditions.

🧊

Ice in the clutch - 5 of 8 games decided by six or less have gone their way.

❄️

Out of sorts - on a 3-game losing run.

Roosters

πŸ’ͺ

Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 3.9 points after half-time on average.

πŸ”₯

Red-hot - riding a 4-game winning streak.

🏰

Fortress at home - 7-2 on their own deck this season.

πŸ’¬ FormPicks Commentary

This is a genuine coin flip. The Roosters are the hotter team right now with four wins on the trot and they finish games hard, outscoringopponents by nearly four points after half-time on average. But the Knights have the home ground advantage and they've been a fortress at McDonald Jones all year, winning seven of nine. They're also ice in the clutch when games tighten up, winning five of their last eight decided by six points or less. Fine conditions favour neither side particularly, so the key thing to watch is whether Newcastle's closing record holds up against a Roosters outfit that knows how to put teams away in the second half.

πŸ“Š

Team Stats Β· Head to Head

How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.

⚑

Momentum

Knights

Season18 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent

Roosters

Season17 games
Last 55 games
Last gamemost recent

Last Game Key Callouts

RoostersvKnightsKnights
KnightsvRoostersRoosters
Knights

Run metres Down 373m on their last 5 average

Knights

Tackle breaks Down 11 on their last 5 average

Knights

Set distance Down 8m on their last 5 average

πŸ“‹

The Meters Behind It

SeasonLast 5Last game

Run metres

Knights1,6721,7191,346Roosters1,7851,7201,783

Post-contact metres

Knights506565477Roosters620618658

Line breaks

Knights5.53.84Roosters4.64.03

Tackle breaks

Knights35.738.828Roosters34.931.427

Offloads

Knights10.19.25Roosters10.310.48

Kick metres

Knights604647773Roosters574704809

Completion

Knights76%74%73%Roosters77%79%80%

Set distance

Knights414133Roosters403839

Errors

Knights12.112.613Roosters12.811.813

Missed tackles

Knights33.932.623Roosters26.524.617

Effective tackle %

Knights88%89%92%Roosters89%89%92%

Penalties conceded

Knights4.74.27Roosters5.24.42

Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.

Team news & line-ups

Knights - out

  • Kalyn Ponga Β· Fullbackβˆ’3
  • Dane Gagai Β· Centreβˆ’1.4

Roosters: full-strength side named.

Knights

  1. 2Dominic Young
  2. 3Fletcher Hunt
  3. 4Bradman Best
  4. 5Greg Marzhew
  5. 6Fletcher Sharpe
  6. 7Dylan Brown
  7. 8Tyson Frizell (c)
  8. 9Phoenix Crossland (c)
  9. 10Trey Mooney
  10. 11Dylan Lucas
  11. 12Francis Manuleleua
  12. 13Mat Croker

Interchange

  1. 14Sandon Smith
  2. 15Cody Hopwood
  3. 17Thomas Cant

Roosters

  1. 1James Tedesco (c)
  2. 2Daniel Tupou
  3. 3Billy Smith
  4. 4Robert Toia
  5. 5Mark Nawaqanitawase
  6. 6Daly Cherry-Evans
  7. 7Sam Walker
  8. 8Naufahu Whyte
  9. 9Reece Robson
  10. 10Spencer Leniu
  11. 11Nat Butcher
  12. 12Siua Wong
  13. 13Victor Radley

Interchange

  1. 14Hugo Savala
  2. 15Salesi Foketi
  3. 16Egan Butcher
  4. 17Connor Watson

Named squads from the official team lists. β€œOut” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.

Season form guide

KnightsvsRoosters
7Ladder2
11-8Win–Loss13-5
25.3Pts for /game24.9
23.4Pts against /game20.2
2 - 3Last 54 - 0
3LStreak4W
7 - 3Home / Away6 - 3

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.