Team-list/conditions update: tip now Rabbitohs by around 3.
Rabbitohs
✓10-8
Storm
8-11
Rabbitohs by around 3
Rabbitohs
Strong finishers - outscore opponents by 4.2 points after half-time on average.
Fortress at home - 7-2 on their own deck this season.
Handle the wet - 2 from 3 in rain or heavy conditions.
Poor travellers - only 3-6 away from home.
Storm
Poor travellers - only 2-8 away from home.
Struggle in the wet - only 1 of 3 won in greasy conditions.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Rabbitohs have the edge here on home turf against a Storm side that struggles away from Melbourne, sitting 2-7 on the road this season. South Sydney's fortress status at Accor Stadium (6-2) combined with their knack for strong second-half finishes - they outscore opponents by 4.2 points after the break on average - gives them genuine control over the contest, especially in fine conditions that won't play into Storm's wet-weather struggles. Watch whether Storm's travel fatigue bites early, because if Souths get ahead and impose their finishing strength, the visitors will have limited answers on enemy soil.
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
Momentum
Rabbitohs
Storm
Last Game Key Callouts
vStormvRabbitohsTackle breaks Down 16 on their last 5 average
Post-contact metres Down 95m on their last 5 average
Set distance Down 8m on their last 5 average
The Meters Behind It
Run metres
Post-contact metres
Line breaks
Tackle breaks
Offloads
Kick metres
Completion
Set distance
Errors
Missed tackles
Effective tackle %
Penalties conceded
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
Team news & line-ups
Rabbitohs - out
- Cameron Murray · Lock−2
- David Fifita · 2nd Row−1.5
- Tallis Duncan · Centre−1.4
Storm - out
- Will Warbrick · Winger−1.2
Rabbitohs
- 1Matthew Dufty
- 2Alex Johnston
- 3Latrell Siegwalt
- 4Jack Wighton
- 5Campbell Graham
- 6Cody Walker (c)
- 7Ashton Ward
- 8Tevita Tatola
- 9Brandon Smith
- 10Keaon Koloamatangi
- 12Euan Aitken
- 13Lachlan Hubner
Interchange
- 14Jayden Sullivan
- 15Jye Gray
- 16Liam Le Blanc
- 17Jamie Humphreys
Storm
- 1Sualauvi Faalogo
- 2Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown
- 3Jack Howarth
- 4Nick Meaney
- 5Moses Leo
- 6Tyran Wishart
- 7Jahrome Hughes
- 8Stefano Utoikamanu
- 9Harry Grant
- 10Josh King
- 11Cooper Clarke
- 12Oryn Keeley
- 13Trent Loiero
Interchange
- 14Trent Toelau
- 15Alec MacDonald
- 16Angus Hinchey
- 17Jack Hetherington
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.