Team-list/conditions update: tip now Raiders comfortably (18+).
Raiders
8-10
Wests Tigers
7-11
Raiders comfortably (18+)
Raiders lead by 18 over a side that fades - the margin has room to stretch.
Tend to fade - conceding 6.2 more points than they score in second halves. 41' to play.
No fluke - Raiders are winning 47m a set to 38.7.
Territory that lopsided is structural, not luck. A Wests Tigers comeback needs the game to change shape, not just the bounces.
Raiders lead by 18 but tend to fade - the Wests Tigers live line is the angle.
Tend to fade - conceding 5.6 more points than they score in second halves.
Run of play
Raiders are controlling territory (275m up) - the lead looks earned.
38 pts after 39' - tracking to ~70 against 48 projected pre-game.
Raiders
Wests Tigers
Tries & conversions
🏉Jed Stuart 6'
🏉Ethan Sanders 15'
🏉Ethan Strange 20'
🏉Kaeo Weekes 24'
🏉Xavier Savage 33'
🏉Ethan Roberts 11'
🏉Faaletino Tavana 36'
Season patterns measured against the live game - angles to weigh, never advice. In-play markets move fast.
Raiders
Red-hot - riding a 3-game winning streak.
Ice in the clutch - 3 of 5 games decided by six or less have gone their way.
Tend to fade - conceding 5.6 more points than they score in second halves.
Wests Tigers
Tend to fade - conceding 6.2 more points than they score in second halves.
Out of sorts - on a 5-game losing run.
Poor travellers - only 2-6 away from home.
Leaky at the back - shipping 28.7 points a game.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Raiders are the clear pick here. They're red-hot on a three-game winning streak, playing at home in fine conditions, and have shown real composure in close contests, winning three of their last five games decided by six points or less. Wests Tigers arrive in poor shape, mired in a five-game losing run and struggling badly away from home with a 2-6 record on the road, while also leaking 28.7 points a game. The one thing to watch is that Raiders' second-half fade - they're conceding 5.6 more points than they score after the break - so if the Tigers stay within range at half-time, they could still threaten late.
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing, and the meters behind it - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Rabbitohsv
BulldogsPost-contact metres Down 75m on their last 5 average
The Meters Behind It
Run metres
Post-contact metres
Line breaks
Tackle breaks
Offloads
Kick metres
Completion
Set distance
Errors
Missed tackles
Effective tackle %
Penalties conceded
Full-game team stats harvested after each round. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer errors, missed tackles and penalties count as better.
Half-Time Watch
Angles to have ready at the break - bets that come into play if the first half unfolds like this.
If the first half turns into a shootout → the points usually keep coming - the 2nd-half over is the value.
After high-scoring first halves, these sides have averaged 26.6 points after the break, up on the 23.2 their games usually produce.
In-play prompts from season scoring patterns - not live odds. Always your call at the break.
Team news & line-ups
Raiders - out
- Hudson Young · 2nd Row−1.5
Wests Tigers - out
- Adam Doueihi · Halfback−4.5
- Starford To'a · Centre−1.4
- Jeral Skelton · Winger−1.2
Raiders
- 1Kaeo Weekes
- 2Jed Stuart
- 3Simi Sasagi
- 4Matthew Timoko
- 5Xavier Savage
- 6Ethan Strange
- 7Ethan Sanders
- 8Corey Horsburgh
- 9Tom Starling
- 10Joseph Tapine (c)
- 11Zac Hosking
- 13Morgan Smithies
Interchange
- 14Jayden Brailey
- 15Ata Mariota
- 16Josh Papalii
- 17Daine Laurie
Wests Tigers
- 1Jahream Bula
- 2Junior Tupou
- 3Sunia Turuva
- 4Patrick Herbert
- 5Faaletino Tavana
- 6Jarome Luai (c)
- 7Javon Andrews
- 8Terrell May
- 9Apisai Koroisau (c)
- 10Fonua Pole
- 11Samuela Fainu
- 12Ethan Roberts
- 13Alex Twal
Interchange
- 14Jared Haywood
- 15Sione Fainu
- 16Alex Seyfarth
- 17Bunty Afoa
Named squads from the official team lists. “Out” compares the named side to each team's recent first-choice; the figure is the projected points swing.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NRL match data for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.