F
FormPicks

Coonabarabran · Race 6

Good As Gold John Cormie RIP (Bm50)

1200m · Good 4 · $16,000

4:21 pm
⚠️Open race, with no clear standout on the form.

Our Pick

Strong Pick🔴High Risk

Pattera

🏃Front RunnerSpeed King

Quickest recent time figure in the field, 0.9s under track average.

🎯

Suited at the trip with 2 wins from 6 starts over 1200m.

📊

Resuming today. Winless first-up but strikes once into prep, 1 win from 4 starts second-up.

The Read

Pattera brings the quickest recent time figure in the field at 0.9s under the track average, and has a solid strike rate at the trip with 2 wins from 6 starts over 1200m. The case leans on recent speed and proven suitability to distance, though a class move presents a concern. Watch the first-up record closely: winless from 4 resumptions but with 1 win from 4 starts second-up, so today's placement in the prep matters.

Class move Recent speed Recent form Class / market

Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Show 10 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Battle Reign vs Haronya

Battle Reign finished 8th to 12th at Narromine last month, 19.3 lengths clear.

Battle Reign vs My Crown

Battle Reign finished 8th to 11th at Narromine last month, 13.3 lengths clear.

Battle Reign vs The Git Up

Battle Reign finished 8th to 9th at Narromine last month, 5.4 lengths clear.

Bravalatante vs Bobotov

Bravalatante finished 1st to 8th at Binnaway 3 months ago, 5.3 lengths clear.

Bravalatante vs Sidenay

Bravalatante finished 1st to 4th at Binnaway 3 months ago, a head clear.

Haronya vs My Crown

Haronya finished 7th to 10th at Cowra a fortnight ago, 1.4 lengths clear.

Prince Rupert vs Wootton Please

Prince Rupert finished 1st to 3rd at Tuncurry 3 months ago, 2.2 lengths clear.

Sidenay vs Bobotov

Sidenay finished 4th to 8th at Binnaway 3 months ago, 4.9 lengths clear.

The Git Up vs Haronya

The Git Up finished 4th to 7th at Cowra a fortnight ago, 4.6 lengths clear.

The Git Up vs My Crown

The Git Up finished 4th to 10th at Cowra a fortnight ago, 3.2 lengths clear.

⚔️Danger🏃Front Runner

Wootton Please

9

J: Nick Palmer · T: Brett Thompson

🏆

Won last start by half a length at Taree.

⚠️

Resuming today. Yet to win first-up from 3 attempts, usually needs a run.

The Read

Wootton Please won last start by half a length at Taree, which is the concrete form anchor here. The case leans on that recent speed and the jockey's current form as strengths, though a class move up presents a concern to weigh. The main thing to watch is the resumption factor: this horse is yet to win first-up from 3 attempts and usually needs a run to find peak form.

Class move Recent form Class / market Jockey form
🎯Next Best🏃Front Runner

My Crown

1

J: Gabrielle Johnston · T: Brett Thompson

📈

Brett Thompson and Gabrielle Johnston combining at 134% above expectation.

🏁

Barrier 1 draw should allow soft early run.

The Read

My Crown has the trainer/jockey combo of Brett Thompson and Gabrielle Johnston, who are striking at 134% above expectation from their last 100 runners, a material edge in execution. The horse is drawn in barrier 1, which should allow it to secure a soft run in the race. However, the recent speed figures raise a concern, and this class move up also warrants close attention as the main variable to watch.

Class move Recent speed Barrier

Full Field

The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.

1

My Crown🎯 Next Best

J: Gabrielle Johnston · T: Brett Thompson

🏃Front Runner
Last 500843

My Crown has the trainer/jockey combo of Brett Thompson and Gabrielle Johnston, who are striking at 134% above expectation from their last 100 runners, a material edge in execution. The horse is drawn in barrier 1, which should allow it to secure a soft run in the race. However, the recent speed figures raise a concern, and this class move up also warrants close attention as the main variable to watch.

Class move Recent speed Barrier
2

Bravalatante

J: Leanne Boyd · T: Sally Torrens

Last 542891

Bravalatante gets a key structural advantage from barrier 2, which should allow it to secure a soft run through the race. However, the case is undermined by concerns around the class jump, added weight, and recent speed figures that don't stand out. The main thing to watch is the wet track condition: the horse is unproven in the wet with zero wins from 3 attempts on soft ground, which is a material risk if the surface is testing.

Class move Weight Recent speed Barrier
3

Point Out🔧 Concussion plates (front) first time.

J: Angel Brennan · T: Ian Holland

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
Last 5087x7

Point Out has a positive record when fresh, placing on 1 from 4 resumptions, and is suited to today's 1200m distance with 2 wins from 6 starts there. Barrier 3 should allow a soft run into the race. The main concerns centre on recent form, recent speed and the class of this assignment, which warrant close attention to how the horse handles the step up or return to form.

Class move Recent form Recent speed Class / market
4

The Git Up

J: Anna Weatherlake · T: Brett Thompson

Last 549302

The Git Up's case rests on recent form strength, but that's offset by concerns about the class level of this assignment and recent speed figures that don't stand out. The main thing to watch is first-up performance: this horse has never won from five resumption attempts and typically needs a run to find its feet, which is a material query on a fresh-up debut.

Class move Recent speed Class / market Recent form
5

Bobotov🔧 Blinkers again, winkers off again.

J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren · T: G J Watts

Last 583868

Bobotov resumes today with a poor first-up record of 0 wins from 6 attempts and typically needs a run to peak, which is the primary concern here. Recent form is weak and the horse is racing at a higher class level while carrying more weight than ideal. The application of blinkers suggests the trainer is seeking improvement, but watch closely for the wet track conditions: Bobotov is unproven on soft ground with 0 wins from 8 attempts, which could be a decisive factor.

Recent form Weight Class move
6

Vastly

J: Kody Nestor · T: Brett Robb

Last 503610

Vastly faces a class step up that presents real concern, and recent form has also been patchy. The main thing to watch is how this horse handles soft ground, as today marks a first run on the going and there's no evidence yet of how it will perform in these conditions.

Class move Class / market Recent form
7

Battle Reign

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes · T: John Collison

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey
Last 508x64

Battle Reign is backed by two in-form professionals: trainer John Collison is running 49% above expectation across his last 100 runners, and jockey Jake Pracey-Holmes is riding 54% above expectation in the same span. However, the case is undercut by three material concerns: the class movement raises questions about whether the horse can perform at this level, recent form has dipped, and the market reflects genuine doubt. The main watch is the first-up angle. Battle Reign has yet to win from 3 attempts resuming and typically needs a run to find its feet, so early pace and sectional times will matter.

Class move Recent form Class / market
8

Sidenay

J: Hollie Hull · T: Ms J Clement

Last 58x402

Sidenay's case leans on trainer form as the main positive, but is tempered by recent speed concerns, a class move up, and patchy recent form that all weigh against it. The horse is resuming today after time away, which is the key thing to watch: it has yet to win first-up from 7 attempts and typically needs a run to find its rhythm, so early-up racing may not suit.

Recent speed Class move Recent form Trainer form
9

Wootton Please⚔️ Danger

J: Nick Palmer · T: Brett Thompson

🏃Front Runner
Last 516335

Wootton Please won last start by half a length at Taree, which is the concrete form anchor here. The case leans on that recent speed and the jockey's current form as strengths, though a class move up presents a concern to weigh. The main thing to watch is the resumption factor: this horse is yet to win first-up from 3 attempts and usually needs a run to find peak form.

Class move Recent form Class / market Jockey form
10

PatteraTOP PICK

J: Jess Del Frari · T: Ms M Harrison

🏃Front RunnerSpeed King
Last 54012x

Pattera brings the quickest recent time figure in the field at 0.9s under the track average, and has a solid strike rate at the trip with 2 wins from 6 starts over 1200m. The case leans on recent speed and proven suitability to distance, though a class move presents a concern. Watch the first-up record closely: winless from 4 resumptions but with 1 win from 4 starts second-up, so today's placement in the prep matters.

Class move Recent speed Recent form Class / market
12

Haronya

J: Clayton Gallagher · T: Kylie Kennedy

Last 570x04

Haronya is weighted down by recent form concerns, a class move up in grade, and questions about recent speed. The case against is reinforced by an unproven record in the wet: 0 wins from 4 attempts on soft ground. Beyond that, a wide barrier of 12 from 13 will require a patient ride and genuine improvement to factor in. Watch whether the horse can overcome the moisture in the ground and find clear air from the outside.

Recent speed Class move Class / market Recent form
13

Prince Rupert

J: Jordie Thompson · T: Philip Duffy

Last 575157

Prince Rupert faces a tough assignment resuming today from a wide barrier 13 of 13, and the concern centres on a recent class move and recent speed that don't inspire confidence. His first-up record is patchy at best, with zero wins from 4 attempts, and he typically needs a run to find his feet. Watch closely whether he can overcome the draw and handle the step up in grade.

Class move Recent speed Barrier Recent form