Titans at Ravens - NFL Tips & Prediction

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

BALTENWhat happenedWhat we expected (BAL 27, TEN 17)What the play deserved

The Ravens got 9 points ahead of the pace we expected in the second quarter, then it evened out by full time.

Where it moved

▲ BAL better than we expected

-1Q17-7

+10Q217-0

-5Q30-3

-8Q40-8

▼ TEN better than we expected

The second quarter was where it moved most, 10 points better than our numbers for the Ravens.

Every score

Q1 12:09TDD.Henry ran it in from 5 yards7-0
Q1 5:56TDT.Pollard ran it in from 3 yards7-7
Q2 12:16TDL.Jackson to Z.Flowers, 19 yards14-7
Q2 3:32TDL.Jackson to M.Andrews, 3 yards21-7
Q2 0:00FGT.Loop from 64 yards24-7
Q3 6:52FGJ.Slye from 33 yards24-10
Q4 1:12TDC.Ward to W.Robinson, 3 yards, two-point try good24-18

⚖️What decided it

Why the Ravens won, and why the Titans did not.

From the game

Won the turnovers, took it away two times and never gave it up
Flagged 13 times for 131 yards

Key battles

131Penalty yards32

100%Red zone trips scored50%

0Turnovers2

8Big plays5

🏈Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Ravens

Good plays

INTERCEPTION
T.Simpson picked off C.Ward at the TEN 37
Q1 14:18 · BAL 0-0 TEN
BIG PLAY
L.Jackson to Z.Flowers for 52 yards
Q2 4:44 · BAL 14-7 TEN
4TH DOWN
Stopped them on 4th & 2 at the BAL 2
Q2 8:20 · BAL 14-7 TEN

Bad plays

MISSED FG
T.Loop missed from 40 yards
Q4 3:24 · BAL 24-10 TEN

Titans

Good plays

4TH DOWN
C.Ward to C.Tate for 33 yards on 4th & 11
Q4 1:51 · BAL 24-10 TEN
TOUCHDOWN
C.Ward to W.Robinson, 3 yards
Q4 1:12 · BAL 24-18 TEN
BIG PLAY
C.Ward to E.Ayomanor for 22 yards
Q2 11:15 · BAL 14-7 TEN

Bad plays

INTERCEPTION
C.Ward picked off by T.Simpson at the TEN 37
Q1 14:18 · BAL 0-0 TEN
4TH DOWN
Turned it over on 4th & 2 at the BAL 2
Q2 8:20 · BAL 14-7 TEN
SACK
C.Ward sacked on 2nd & 6
Q4 2:16 · BAL 24-10 TEN

📊The numbers

BAL		TEN
384	Total yards	297
6.3	Yards per play	5.1
+0.14	Points added per play	-0.08
272	Passing yards	212
112	Rushing yards	85
19	First downs	21
20%	Third downs converted	20%
100%	Red zone trips scored	50%
8	Big plays	5
0	Turnovers	2
2	Sacks taken	1
131	Penalty yards	32
33:08	Time with the ball	26:52

What's driving the pick

⏱️

How the points should come

Ravens should be in front early, expect Titans to come at them late

Ravens⭐TitansActual

6-3

Actual 7-7

Half

15-7

Actual 24-7

21-12

Actual 24-10

Final

27-17

Actual 24-18

Our points call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.

⚡Momentum

How each side has been playing, the season, the last 5 and the last game.

Ravens

Season3 games

Last 55 games, 2 from 2025

Last gamemost recent

Titans

Season3 games

Last 55 games, 2 from 2025

Last gamemost recent

📊

Team Stats · Head to Head

How each side is actually playing - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.

The stat map

BAL

TEN

BAL

TEN

BAL

TEN

BAL

TEN

Attack

Last 5Last game

Points scored31.414.0347

Per playGreatBadGreatBad

Yards a play6.94.76.54.6

Passing yards218176186181

Rushing yards18991.219281

Big plays7.64.2113

Defence

Last 5Last game

Points allowed25.626.83112

Per playPoorBadBadGood

Takeaways1.00.610

Sacks2.02.013

Ball security

Last 5Last game

Giveaways0.61.002

Sacks allowed1.82.000

Discipline

Last 5Last game

Penalty yards64.247.07863

Full-game team stats from nflverse, updated after each week.

🧮Factor breakdown

How each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ratings, efficiency, form, rest, the home field and who is out. Never from betting markets.

◀ RavensTitans ▶

Overall rating

EPA per play

Recent form

Home field

Rest & bye week

Availability

Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.

🏆Season form guide

Ravens

Titans

Record2-10-3

Conference6 in AFC14 in AFC

Pts for / game30.712.3

Pts against / game26.019.7

Division0-00-0

Starting QBLamar JacksonCam Ward

BAL v DAL	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	7-4	8-9	4-5	8-6
Happened	7-10	10-3	7-8	10-10

BAL v NO	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	7-2	8-6	5-6	6-7
Happened	7-0	7-6	3-3	0-15

BAL v IND	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	4-6	8-7	4-6	8-5
Happened	14-6	17-7	0-3	10-7

TEN v NYG	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	5-3	5-10	3-6	6-5
Happened	0-3	0-6	0-3	7-0

TEN v PHI	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	4-5	4-10	2-6	9-5
Happened	7-0	3-14	7-3	3-7

A deserved win for the Ravens

⏱️How it unfolded

⚖️What decided it

🏈Good plays, bad plays

📊The numbers

What's driving the pick

⚡Momentum

Team Stats · Head to Head

The stat map

🧮Factor breakdown

🏆Season form guide

Nothing in the form changes our call

Ravens

Titans

Public Opinion

BAL		DAL
378	Total yards	424
6.5	Yards per play	6.0
+0.13	Points added per play	+0.17
20	First downs	24
11	Big plays	5
0	Turnovers	1
0	Sacks taken	1
78	Penalty yards	88

BAL		NO
343	Total yards	317
6.1	Yards per play	5.0
+0.11	Points added per play	+0.15
19	First downs	17
5	Big plays	6
1	Turnovers	0
3	Sacks taken	3
34	Penalty yards	35

BAL		IND
526	Total yards	268
8.2	Yards per play	5.1
+0.27	Points added per play	-0.14
23	First downs	16
9	Big plays	7
1	Turnovers	2
2	Sacks taken	2
86	Penalty yards	29

TEN		NYG
262	Total yards	256
4.6	Yards per play	4.4
-0.15	Points added per play	-0.11
15	First downs	15
3	Big plays	5
2	Turnovers	0
0	Sacks taken	3
63	Penalty yards	88

TEN		PHI
305	Total yards	353
6.0	Yards per play	4.9
+0.08	Points added per play	+0.04
14	First downs	21
7	Big plays	4
0	Turnovers	2
2	Sacks taken	3
45	Penalty yards	35

TEN		NYJ
208	Total yards	367
4.2	Yards per play	5.8
-0.12	Points added per play	+0.12
10	First downs	18
2	Big plays	7
1	Turnovers	0
3	Sacks taken	0
25	Penalty yards	48