UFC Tips & Predictions

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A true toss-up, and I won't pretend otherwise. Gane takes less damage and has the 8.0in reach edge, but Hokit is busier and younger. I'd expect it to go the distance. Hokit's takedowns could undo it if he drags Gane to the ground.

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Kayla Harrison on the cards, and not a lock. She takes less damage and is harder to take down, so I like her to grind out a decision over five. The fight likely goes the distance. What could undo it is 17 months out of the cage and getting out-struck on volume.

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Belgaroui is rolling right now, three wins from three, while Borralho is living off his name. I like Belgaroui on the cards, likely by decision and probably the distance. His busier striking and reach should keep him in control. The risk is Borralho taking him down and winning the takedown battle.

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Two strikers, so the question is range and the ground. Holland's 10-inch reach edge and his tougher takedown defence should keep Medic at arm's length. I'd back Holland on the cards, though I expect a stoppage before the bell. The risk is Holland getting out-struck on volume, and he's the older man.

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Charles Radtke to win on the cards, and I'd expect it to go the distance. He's younger, harder to take down and on a run, so I lean his way without it being a lock. Stephen Thompson, a striker, is 1.3 years out from a decision loss to Bonfim. The thing that could undo this is Radtke getting out-struck on volume.

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Expect this one to reach the cards rather than end early. Duncan gets the nod on the scorecards, helped by his youth, takedown threat and ability to take less damage than Dober. It's no certainty, though, and Dober's power is the risk, since one clean shot could flip it.

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Miller has the longer record, but McKinney is the busier, younger striker, and I'm backing him. His takedown threat and 2.0in reach should keep him in control. Expect a stoppage, with McKinney edging the cards if it goes the distance. The risk is him absorbing more damage, as he did against Green.

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The ground decides this one, and Johnson's takedown threat and tough-to-take-down frame favour him. Almeida is a striker who needs to keep it standing, and Johnson takes less damage. I like Johnson on the cards, likely by decision. The risk is Almeida out-striking him on volume.

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Gordon getting Costa to the ground decides this, since that wipes out Costa's 3.0in reach edge. I like Costa on the cards, most likely by decision, and this one probably goes the distance. Gordon taking him down or out-striking him on volume is what could undo it. Costa's younger and takes less damage, so I'm siding with him.

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Bia Mesquita's three straight wins look real, and her submission of Melissa Mullins backs that up. Macy Chiasson is back after eight months out and a loss to Ailin Perez, so rust is a worry. I like Mesquita to finish it on the ground, most likely by submission. Her 5.0in reach deficit could keep her at range, and that's the risk.