Warwick Farm · Race 3 · 1200m · Good 4 · $60,000
Kia Ora Bloodlines To Headlines (Bm68)
Wed, 11 Nov, 3:30 pm AEDT
💬FormPicks Commentary
Incredulous Dream, a stakes-winning Press Statement mare, produced this Wild Ruler as her first foal. Annabel Neasham and Rob Archibald's partnership paid $220,000 for him at the 2025 Magic Millions Gold Coast sale, and he's since won back-to-back trials at Warwick Farm, the second by a neck over Dr Know (NZ).
Race Analysis
Clear order
Priory Park is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
Where the win chances sit
63% our three
Priory Park
Top pick
31%
Letters Patent
Danger
17%
Regal
Next Best
15%
The other 5between them
37%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🔁Head to head
Where Priory Park has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 1 matchupHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Letters Patent vs Somerford
Letters Patent finished 1st to 4th at Newcastle 4 months ago, a length clear.
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Priory Park
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Won its last start by 4.5L at Kembla Grange and sits among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 3.5 lengths a km under the track average. It has won 2 from 4 starts on good ground and draws barrier 2 for a soft run, with jockey form also helping the case. Watch whether that barrier and the good ground hold up, as the case rests heavily on its recent speed and form.
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Letters Patent
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Placed first-up (1 from 1) and runs well fresh, with trainer C J Waller 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners. In-form jockey Tommy Berry is riding 38% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and it draws barrier 1 for a soft run. Its class, age and sex all support the case, though it has no standout speed figure to lean on.
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Regal
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Won its last start by 7L at Kembla Grange and has won 1 from 2 starts on good ground. Trainer form and class add to the case, though a class move is a concern. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 7 of 8, which it must overcome.
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Miss Scandal
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The C J Waller/Tim Clark combination is striking 44% above expectation across the last 100 runs, and it draws barrier 3 for a soft run. Class and a favourable running style add to the case, along with jockey form. The main concern is a class move, so that is the thing to watch, and it has no standout speed figure.
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Tokoriki
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
This is its first run back from a spell and it has no first-up record yet, so there is no proven form to lean on from a fresh start. No single rating driver stands out in its favour. The main thing to watch is how it performs first-up after the break.
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Kosei Top
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Won its last start by 1L at Sale and is resuming today, having placed first-up (1 from 1) and running well fresh. Trainer C J Waller is 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and experience and age and sex add support. The main concern is a class move up, so watch how it handles the step up in grade.
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Somerford
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Won its last start by half a length at Kembla Grange and has won 1 from 2 starts on good ground. Trial form and in-form jockey Rachel King, riding 25% above expectation across the last 100 rides, support the case. The concern is its fresh record, and a class move adds further doubt, so watch both.
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Baylie's Folly
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class