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Scone ยท Race 3 ยท 1700m ยท Good 4 ยท $27,000

Magic Millions (Bm74)

Wed, 11 Nov, 2:35 pm AEDT

๐ŸŽฏ

Race Analysis

Standout

Ocean Tsunami is clear of the rest on our numbers.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

๐ŸŽฏ The winner is in our three

82% our three

3

Ocean Tsunami

Top pick

places 83%

62%

4

Disco Prince

Danger

places 30%

10%

2

Alabama Blitz

Next Best

places 28%

9%

+3

The other 3between them

18%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

๐ŸงฎWhat is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyTrainer formClassAge & sexLate speedRecent formRecent speedBest speedFitnessForm through rivalsFresh recordJockey formRunning styleTrack & going
3Ocean Tsunami5
4Disco Prince21
2Alabama Blitz22

The rest of the field

1Grandini23
5Frenchburg24
6Samurai32
lifts its rating holds it back

๐ŸHow they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back ยท runs on late

1Grandini2Alabama Blitz4Disco Prince5Frenchburg6Samurai

No set pattern ยท could go either way

None

On the speed ยท likes to lead

3Ocean Tsunami

๐Ÿ”Head to head

Where Ocean Tsunami has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 2 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Frenchburg vs Grandini

Frenchburg finished 4th to 6th at Muswellbrook last month, 1.9 lengths clear.

Grandini vs Disco Prince

Grandini finished 1st to 4th at Muswellbrook last preparation, 1.7 lengths clear.

๐ŸŽThe field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

3

Ocean Tsunami

Top pick
JJasmine Urquhart-WarrenยทTS I Singleton

Last starts

1514

Career

4 wins from 11

Weight

55.5kg-0.5

Class

Class 3โ†’BM74
โ–ฒ Recent formโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Classโ–ฒ Late speed๐Ÿ”ง Blinkers off first time.

The case leans on its trainer form, class and late speed. It has 1 win from 4 starts at Scone over 1700m, won its last start by a nose at Randwick, and has 3 wins from 5 starts on good ground. Its career strike rate of 36% (4/11) and S I Singleton's form at 27% above expectation across the last 100 runners add support, and the barrier 3 draw should give it a soft run. The main thing to watch is the first-time blinkers.

Read more
4

Disco Prince

Danger
JZac WadickยทTD J Hatch

Last starts

2911

Career

3 wins from 12

Weight

58.0kg-1

Class

BM66โ†’BM74
โ–ฒ Recent formโ–ผ Classโ–ฒ Trainer form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

Recent form and trainer form both support it. D J Hatch/Zac Wadick are striking 111% above expectation over the last 100, and it was placed last start, beaten half a length. Its career strike rate is 25% (3/12). Class is the concern, so it will need to step up against this company.

Read more
2

Alabama Blitz

Next Best
JAlysha CollettยทTCameron Crockett

Last starts

92786

Career

3 wins from 18

Weight

56.5kg

Class

BM68โ†’BM74
โ–ผ Recent formโ–ฒ Trainer formโ–ฒ Late speedโ–ผ Age & sex๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' ShootโšกSpeed King๐Ÿ”ง Winkers first time.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, at 3.6 lengths a km under the track average. Cameron Crockett is in form at 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and trainer form and late speed back it up. Recent form and age and sex are concerns, though the barrier 2 draw should give it a soft run. The main thing to watch is the first-time winkers.

Read more
1

Grandini

JAnna WeatherlakeยทTR P Northam

Last starts

5686

Career

4 wins from 27

Weight

54.0kg+2

Class

BM82โ†’BM74
โ–ฒ Recent speedโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ผ Classโ–ผ Running style๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, at 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, and the barrier 1 draw should give it a soft run. Age and sex, class and running style are concerns that temper the case, so it must show it can handle a step up in company and its running style.

Read more
5

Frenchburg

JAnna RoperยทTT J Wicks

Last starts

5471

Career

2 wins from 27

Weight

55.0kg

Class

BM66โ†’BM74
โ–ผ Classโ–ผ Age & sexโ–ฒ Late speedโ–ผ Jockey form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

T J Wicks/Anna Roper are striking 126% above expectation over the last 100, and late speed is a positive. Class, age and sex, and jockey form are concerns that hold the case back. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 5 of 6 to overcome.

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6

Samurai

JBraith NockยทTBrett & Georgie Cavanough

Last starts

80341

Career

3 wins from 27

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Class 3โ†’BM74
โ–ฒ Recent speedโ–ผ Fresh recordโ–ผ Fitness / freshnessโ–ฒ Trainer form๐ŸŽฏSit 'n' Shoot

Its recent speed and trainer form are positives, but its fresh record and fitness weigh on the case. It is winless first-up (0 from 6), though it has struck once into the prep with 1 win from 4 starts second-up. It is resuming today from a wide barrier 6 to overcome, which is the main thing to watch.

Read more

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.