Scone ยท Race 3 ยท 1700m ยท Good 4 ยท $27,000
Magic Millions (Bm74)
Wed, 11 Nov, 2:35 pm AEDT
Race Analysis
Standout
Ocean Tsunami is clear of the rest on our numbers.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
๐ฏ The winner is in our three
82% our three
Ocean Tsunami
Top pick
62%
Disco Prince
Danger
10%
Alabama Blitz
Next Best
9%
The other 3between them
18%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
๐งฎWhat is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
๐How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back ยท runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern ยท could go either way
could go either way
On the speed ยท likes to lead
likes to lead
๐Head to head
Where Ocean Tsunami has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.
Show 2 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Frenchburg vs Grandini
Frenchburg finished 4th to 6th at Muswellbrook last month, 1.9 lengths clear.
Grandini vs Disco Prince
Grandini finished 1st to 4th at Muswellbrook last preparation, 1.7 lengths clear.
๐The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Ocean Tsunami
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
The case leans on its trainer form, class and late speed. It has 1 win from 4 starts at Scone over 1700m, won its last start by a nose at Randwick, and has 3 wins from 5 starts on good ground. Its career strike rate of 36% (4/11) and S I Singleton's form at 27% above expectation across the last 100 runners add support, and the barrier 3 draw should give it a soft run. The main thing to watch is the first-time blinkers.
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Disco Prince
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Recent form and trainer form both support it. D J Hatch/Zac Wadick are striking 111% above expectation over the last 100, and it was placed last start, beaten half a length. Its career strike rate is 25% (3/12). Class is the concern, so it will need to step up against this company.
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Alabama Blitz
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, at 3.6 lengths a km under the track average. Cameron Crockett is in form at 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and trainer form and late speed back it up. Recent form and age and sex are concerns, though the barrier 2 draw should give it a soft run. The main thing to watch is the first-time winkers.
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Grandini
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
It is among the quickest recent time figures in the field, at 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, and the barrier 1 draw should give it a soft run. Age and sex, class and running style are concerns that temper the case, so it must show it can handle a step up in company and its running style.
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Frenchburg
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
T J Wicks/Anna Roper are striking 126% above expectation over the last 100, and late speed is a positive. Class, age and sex, and jockey form are concerns that hold the case back. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 5 of 6 to overcome.
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Samurai
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class