Eagle FarmQLD

R1Soft 5

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1200m·9 runnersMaiden

3:13 pm

$40,000

📊 Race Analysis

9 runners

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse

Open

Big field

Our Key Selections

3 runners to know

The runners our analysis rates in this race, and why. A starting point for your own form study.

Hit The Switch

⭐Strong Pick59/100

J: Ben E Thompson · T: Matthew Hoysted

🟡Moderate Risk🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey

🎯

Placed 2 of 2 first-up starts, reliable when fresh.

🏇

Won barrier trial by 10.5L, a good freshening-up effort.

🔥

Placed last start, beaten just 2L, so racing in form.

Where the win chances sit

62% our three

Hit The Switch26%Speedy Crown25%Heavenly Artist10%the rest38%

Speedy Crown

56/100

J: Brandon Lerena · T: Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

⏱️

Among the fastest recent times in this field.

🏇

Lockwood, Vincent/Lerena combo strikes 57% above expectation (last 100).

📈

Placed last start, beaten just 1L, racing in form.

🎯

Drawn from barrier 2 to get a soft run.

Over Hit The Switch?

Whether it finds room late. Speedy Crown is among the quickest on time figures in the field and was placed last start, beaten 1L. The catch is it usually settles back and has yet to win from 5 starts. It needs a run late, carrying 1kg less than Hit The Switch.

Heavenly Artist

23/100

J: Jake Molloy · T: Stephen Kirkwood

🎯

Placed 2 of 2 starts, knocking on the door at age 2.

📈

Placed last start, beaten a nose, so racing in form.

🌧️

First run on soft going today, so untested in these conditions.

Over Hit The Switch?

How the soft goes first up. Heavenly Artist should be up on the speed, which puts it in the thick of the race from barrier 7. The catch is its first run on soft going and a 4kg rise. It needs the wet to suit, with 2kg less on its back than Hit The Switch.

🏁 Race shape

Where each runner usually settles, from its recent starts

Pace

1 usually leads

Soft

Even

Genuine

Hot

Lead

7Heavenly Artist8Brazen Act

Midfield

4The Aviator6Private Max3Onlyyoucanread

Back

5Hit The Switch1King Chance2Speedy Crown

Too few starts to read9

Key factors

Weight and class vs last start, and what is pulling each rating

Swipe for more

HorseWeightClassFormSpeedBest speedLate speedClassClass moveJockeyTrainerBarrierFresh recordFitnessRun styleWet formExperienceRivalsAge/sex

1King Chance54.0-4.5

2Speedy Crown59.0+1

3Onlyyoucanread56.0-2.5

4The Aviator56.0-2

5Hit The Switch60.0+3

6Private Max58.0-

7Heavenly Artist58.0+4

8Brazen Act59.0+0.5

9Flamingo Bay57.0+1.5

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FormPicks.com

Tap for extended form

Eagle Farm · Race 1 · 1200m · Soft 5 · $40,000

Become A BRC Member Mdn Hcp

Wed, 11 Nov, 3:13 pm AEDT

⚖️

Race Analysis

Two-horse race

We cannot split Hit The Switch and Speedy Crown. Either could be the one.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

Where the win chances sit

62% our three

Hit The Switch

Top pick

places 59%

26%

Speedy Crown

Danger

places 58%

25%

Heavenly Artist

Next Best

places 34%

10%

The other 6between them

38%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyClassRecent formTrainer formForm through rivalsAge & sexBest speedJockey formRunning styleExperienceLate speedRecent speedWet formBarrierClass moveFitnessFresh record

5Hit The Switch62

2Speedy Crown41

7Heavenly Artist54

The rest of the field

1King Chance21

3Onlyyoucanread11

4The Aviator22

6Private Max52

8Brazen Act3

9Flamingo Bay44

lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailRunning this way Front of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

runs on late

1King Chance2Speedy Crown3Onlyyoucanread5Hit The Switch

No set pattern · could go either way

could go either way

4The Aviator6Private Max9Flamingo Bay

On the speed · likes to lead

likes to lead

7Heavenly Artist8Brazen Act

🔁Head to head

Where Hit The Switch has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 4 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Flamingo Bay vs The Aviator

Flamingo Bay finished 7th to 9th at Eagle Farm a fortnight ago, 4 lengths clear.

Speedy Crown vs Flamingo Bay

Speedy Crown finished 2nd to 7th at Eagle Farm a fortnight ago, 3.4 lengths clear.

Speedy Crown vs King Chance

Speedy Crown finished 4th to 8th at Eagle Farm two months ago, 4.4 lengths clear.

Speedy Crown vs The Aviator

Speedy Crown finished 2nd to 9th at Eagle Farm a fortnight ago, 7.4 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Hit The Switch

Top pick

JBen E Thompson·TMatthew Hoysted

Last starts

3422

Career

0 wins from 6

Weight

60.0kg+3

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Class▼ Fitness / freshness▲ Jockey form▲ Recent form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔥Hot Jockey⏱️ Trialled well

The case leans on its class, recent form and jockey form. It is placed 2 of 2 first-up and was placed last start, beaten 2L, so it is racing in form, and it resumes today off a winning barrier trial by 10.5L. The main thing to watch is freshness - it is returning from a break, so the fitness question is the key concern.

Speedy Crown

Danger

JBrandon Lerena·TBarry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

Last starts

2454

Career

0 wins from 5

Weight

59.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Class▲ Trainer form▲ Recent form▼ Running style🎯Sit 'n' Shoot🔧 Compression hood with ear muffs first time, ear muffs (pre-race only) off first time, pacifiers off first time.

It has been among the quickest recent time figures in the field, and it was placed last start, beaten 1L, so it is racing in form. The Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent/Brandon Lerena combo is striking 57% above expectation (last 100), and it is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is its running style, which is a concern for the rating.

Heavenly Artist

Next Best

JJake Molloy·TStephen Kirkwood

Last starts

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

58.0kg+4

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Recent form▲ Trainer form▼ Class▲ Age & sex

It is placed 2 of 2 career starts at only 2 and was placed last start, beaten a nose, so it is knocking on the door and racing in form. Its trainer form and age and sex also support the case. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going today, so it is untested in these conditions, and its class is a concern.

King Chance

JAdin Thompson·TMs J Aitkenhead

Last starts

5834

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

54.0kg-4.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Class▲ Barrier▼ Recent form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

Its class and barrier are strengths, and the Ms J Aitkenhead/Adin Thompson combo is striking 37% above expectation (last 100). It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 1. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, having yet to win on soft from 4 tries, and its recent form is a concern.

Onlyyoucanread

JCorey Sutherland·TP J Minter

Last starts

7255

Career

0 wins from 6

Weight

56.0kg-2.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Recent form▲ Form through rivals🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⚡Speed King

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 0.5 lengths a km under the track average, and form through its rivals is a strength. It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3. The main thing to watch is that it is unproven in the wet, having yet to win on soft from 3 tries, and its recent form is a concern.

The Aviator

JDaniel Moor·TChris Anderson

Last starts

9092

Career

0 wins from 9

Weight

56.0kg-2

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Class▼ Recent speed▼ Recent form▲ Form through rivals🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Tongue tie first time, winkers off first time.

The Chris Anderson/Daniel Moor combo is striking 72% above expectation (last 100), and its class and form through rivals are strengths. Recent speed and recent form are concerns. The main thing to watch is that it has first-time winkers today, which is a neutral factor that could change how it runs.

Private Max

JAndrew Mallyon·TM J Dunn

Last starts

2273

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Recent form▲ Age & sex▼ Class▲ Trainer form🔥Hot Jockey

It is placed 3 of 4 career starts at only 4 and was placed last start, beaten half a length, so it is racing in form. Its age and sex, recent form and trainer form all support the rating. The main thing to watch is its class, which is a concern against this field.

Brazen Act

JMartin Harley·TK M Schweida

Last starts

0632

Career

0 wins from 13

Weight

59.0kg+0.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▲ Class▲ Form through rivals▲ Wet-track form

The rating is driven by its class, form through its rivals and a wet-track record that counts in its favour. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 8 of 9 it has to overcome, which makes its path to a good run harder.

Flamingo Bay

JCejay Graham·TT J Gollan

Last starts

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

57.0kg+1.5

Class

Same, Maiden

▼ Recent speed▲ Class▼ Recent form▲ Trainer form

Its class and trainer form are the strengths behind the rating. Recent speed and recent form are both concerns. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going today, so it is untested in these conditions, and it has a wide barrier 9 of 9 to overcome.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.