Tropicus @ Vinery Stud Mdn Hcp

The case leans on class and age and sex, with trainer form also helping - C J Waller in form - 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Jockey form is a further strength in its favour. There are no standout speed figures to lean on, so the read depends on the strength of the overall profile rather than raw pace.

Placed last start, beaten a nose, so it is racing in form. The case is supported by in-form jockey Nash Rawiller, riding 22% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and by trainer form and experience. There are no standout speed figures, so its rating rests on recent placing and connections.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.9 lengths a km under the track average, and recent speed, late speed, class and recent form all lean in its favour. C J Waller in form - 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners adds support. The main things to watch are the first-time blinkers, which sharpen the horse's gear, and the wide barrier 7 of 8 to overcome.

Placed 2 of 3 career starts, knocking on the door at only 3, and placed last start, beaten a nose, so recent form is sound. In-form jockey Dylan Gibbons is riding 39% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and late speed and class are further strengths. It is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 1. The main thing to watch is the first-time blinkers, which sharpen the horse's gear.

In-form jockey Rachel King is riding 25% above expectation across the last 100 rides, and C J Waller in form - 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners is also a positive. Drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. No single driver stands out in the rating. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet.

Among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 1.9 lengths a km under the track average, and placed last start, beaten half a length, which underlines its recent form. Late speed is a strength and it is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3. Class and jockey form are concerns that hold the case back, so watch those closely.

Placed last start, beaten 1L, and in-form jockey Tommy Berry is riding 38% above expectation across the last 100 rides. C J Waller in form - 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners adds to the backing, and late speed and experience are further strengths. Running style is a concern, so watch how it is ridden in the race.

Placed last start, beaten 2L, so it is racing in form, and C J Waller in form - 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners supports the case. Class and age and sex are also strengths, though running style is a concern. The main thing to watch is the wide barrier 8 of 8 to overcome.