Warwick Farm · Race 2 · 1200m · Good 4 · $60,000
Racing and Sports Mdn Plate
Wed, 11 Nov, 2:55 pm AEDT
Hard to Split · the form can't separate them
Two-horse race
We cannot split Single Ladies and Oakfield Virginia. Either could be the one.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
Where the win chances sit
62% our three
Single Ladies
Top pick
25%
Oakfield Virginia
Danger
22%
Miss Supernova
Next Best
15%
The other 5between them
38%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Single Ladies
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Oakfield Virginia
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
This is the field's quickest recent time figure at 5.4 lengths a km under the track average, and it has placed in both career starts. It was placed last start, beaten 1L, so recent form, late speed and recent speed all support it. The main concern is the class move, so watch whether it can carry its recent form up a level.
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Miss Supernova
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
Class and trial form are the main reasons this horse rates, and it is placed first-up with a 1 from 2 record, which suggests it runs well fresh. The concerns are a fresh record and fitness after a break, so it is a question of whether it has been brought back sharp enough. Watch how it handles its first race back and whether the trial form carries over.
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Legsliketwiggy
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The case is held back by recent form, class and age and sex, which are all flagged as concerns, so this horse has to prove it belongs at this level. The main positive is the draw, with a soft run from barrier 1 that could help it settle. Watch whether it can turn that trip advantage into a genuine finishing effort, because the form and class concerns are the bigger issue.
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Tuscan Charm
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Its eye-catching barrier trial, finishing 3rd beaten 1.5L, is the main positive, and the Danielle Seib/Tyler Schiller combination is striking 30% above expectation over the last 100. It is also drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is that it is a first run back from a spell with no first-up record yet.
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The Weapon
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
This is a second entry for The Weapon in the input; see the entry above.
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Rishaka
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Rishaka does not have a standout speed figure or strong rating driver, so the read is mainly about its unknowns. It is coming off a spell and has no first-up record yet. Trainer C J Waller is in form, riding 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, which gives some support. Watch the first run back, since that is the main unknown.
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Testamapatience
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Class, experience, jockey form and late speed are all positives here, with in-form jockey Tommy Berry riding 38% above expectation across the last 100 rides. The horse is trying blinkers for the first time, which is a sharpening change that could help or unsettle it. It has to overcome a wide barrier 8 of 9, which is the main thing to watch.
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ScratchedWater City