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Ballarat · Race 1 · 1400m · Soft 5 · $42,500

Power FM Mdn Plate

Wed, 11 Nov, 3:40 pm AEDT

📋

Race Analysis

Clear order

Royal Maximus is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

🎯 The winner is in our three

72% our three

2

Royal Maximus

Top pick

places 76%

42%

4

Goodness

Danger

places 56%

21%

6

Ciphered

Next Best

places 33%

9%

+6

The other 6between them

28%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyTrainer formRecent formClassJockey formLate speedAge & sexExperienceRecent speedBest speedFitnessRunning styleWet form
2Royal Maximus61
4Goodness3
6Ciphered52

The rest of the field

1Gun City42
3Iron Stupa22
5Stomping Ground11
8Release The Fox37
lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

None

No set pattern · could go either way

1Gun City3Iron Stupa4Goodness6Ciphered7Dorchester8Release The Fox10Loyalty

On the speed · likes to lead

2Royal Maximus5Stomping Ground

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

2

Royal Maximus

Top pick
JDamian Lane·TC J Waller

Last starts

2435

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▲ Jockey form▲ Class▲ Late speed🚀Late Speed⚡Speed King🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Blinkers again.

It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, and was placed last start, beaten half a length. C J Waller is in form at 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and the jockey, class and late speed all support the rating. It has a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is the return to blinkers, which is a gear change.

Read more
4

Goodness

Danger
JMichael Dee·TA & S Freedman

Last starts

3523

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

57.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▲ Trainer form▲ Class

It has been placed in 3 of its 4 career starts, which is a strong record at only 4. It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and recent form, trainer form and class are all working in its favour. It has no standout speed figure, so the case rests on its consistency rather than raw speed.

Read more
6

Ciphered

Next Best
JJett Stanley·TGavin Bedggood

Last starts

37

Career

0 wins from 2

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Age & sex▼ Best speed▲ Recent form▼ Recent speed🔧 Cross-over nose band first time.

The Gavin Bedggood/Jett Stanley combo is striking 97% above expectation (last 100), and it was placed last start, beaten 3.5L. Age and sex and recent form are working in its favour, while best speed and recent speed are concerns. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

Read more
1

Gun City

JJye McNeil·TT & C McEvoy

Last starts

5

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Trainer form▲ Experience▲ Age & sex▼ Running style

Trainer form, experience and age and sex are all strengths in its case, and it has a soft run from barrier 1. Running style is a concern and it has no standout speed figure. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

Read more
3

Iron Stupa

JRhys Mc Leod·TP Kearney

Last starts

2332

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form▼ Class▲ Wet-track form▼ Jockey form📈In Form

Among the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 1.4 lengths a km under the track average, and the P Kearney/Rhys Mc Leod combo is striking 44% above expectation (last 100). It was placed last start, beaten 1L, and the case also leans on its wet-track form and a soft run from barrier 3. Class and jockey form are the concerns to weigh against that.

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5

Stomping Ground

JBrad Rawiller·TE & D Browne

Last starts

4846

Career

0 wins from 5

Weight

58.0kg+1

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Age & sex▼ Trainer form
7

Dorchester

JLuke Currie·TM, W & J Hawkes

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Maiden

The M, W & J Hawkes/Luke Currie combo is striking 90% above expectation (last 100), and no rating drivers stand out either way. It is returning from a spell with no first-up record yet. The main things to watch are that first-up record and that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

Read more
8

Release The Fox

JDean Yendall·TJoanne Agius

Last starts

0

Career

0 wins from 1

Weight

59.5kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent speed▼ Recent form▼ Best speed▼ Running style🔥Hot Jockey🔧 Ear muffs (pre-race only) first time, tongue tie first time, winkers off first time.

The case is held back by concerns across recent speed, recent form, best speed and running style, and it has no standout speed figure. It is wearing winkers for the first time today. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.

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10

Loyalty

JCarleen Hefel·TC Maher

Last starts

No starts

Career

First starter

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Maiden
🔧 Barrier blanket first time, lugging bit first time.

No rating drivers stand out and it has no standout speed figure, so there is little positive evidence in its case. It is returning from a spell with no first-up record yet. The main things to watch are that this is its first run on soft going, untested in these conditions, and that it has a wide barrier 10 of 10 to overcome.

Read more

ScratchedBogey Free

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.