Ballarat · Race 1 · 1400m · Soft 5 · $42,500
Power FM Mdn Plate
Wed, 11 Nov, 3:40 pm AEDT
Race Analysis
Clear order
Royal Maximus is our top rating with a real gap to the rest.
Standout
Clear order
Two-horse race
Open race
Big field
🎯 The winner is in our three
72% our three
Royal Maximus
Top pick
42%
Goodness
Danger
21%
Ciphered
Next Best
9%
The other 6between them
28%
Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.
🧮What is pulling each rating
The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.
Swipe the grid sideways for every signal
The rest of the field
🏁How they will settle
A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.
Settles back · runs on late
runs on late
No set pattern · could go either way
could go either way
On the speed · likes to lead
likes to lead
🐎The field
Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.
Jump to a runner
Royal Maximus
Top pickLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, and was placed last start, beaten half a length. C J Waller is in form at 31% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and the jockey, class and late speed all support the rating. It has a soft run from barrier 2. The main thing to watch is the return to blinkers, which is a gear change.
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Goodness
DangerLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
It has been placed in 3 of its 4 career starts, which is a strong record at only 4. It was placed last start, beaten 1.5L, and recent form, trainer form and class are all working in its favour. It has no standout speed figure, so the case rests on its consistency rather than raw speed.
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Ciphered
Next BestLast starts
Career
Weight
Class
The Gavin Bedggood/Jett Stanley combo is striking 97% above expectation (last 100), and it was placed last start, beaten 3.5L. Age and sex and recent form are working in its favour, while best speed and recent speed are concerns. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.
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Gun City
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Trainer form, experience and age and sex are all strengths in its case, and it has a soft run from barrier 1. Running style is a concern and it has no standout speed figure. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.
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Iron Stupa
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Among the quickest recent time figures in the field, running 1.4 lengths a km under the track average, and the P Kearney/Rhys Mc Leod combo is striking 44% above expectation (last 100). It was placed last start, beaten 1L, and the case also leans on its wet-track form and a soft run from barrier 3. Class and jockey form are the concerns to weigh against that.
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Stomping Ground
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
Dorchester
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The M, W & J Hawkes/Luke Currie combo is striking 90% above expectation (last 100), and no rating drivers stand out either way. It is returning from a spell with no first-up record yet. The main things to watch are that first-up record and that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.
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Release The Fox
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
The case is held back by concerns across recent speed, recent form, best speed and running style, and it has no standout speed figure. It is wearing winkers for the first time today. The main thing to watch is that this is its first run on soft going, so it is untested in these conditions.
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Loyalty
Last starts
Career
Weight
Class
No rating drivers stand out and it has no standout speed figure, so there is little positive evidence in its case. It is returning from a spell with no first-up record yet. The main things to watch are that this is its first run on soft going, untested in these conditions, and that it has a wide barrier 10 of 10 to overcome.
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ScratchedBogey Free