Nowra · Race 1
Graham Smith Memorial Country Boosted Mdn Hcp
1400m · Good 4 · $30,000
Our Pick
Folsomprisonhooves
🔧 Bubble cheeker (near side) first time.Placed last start, beaten half a length - racing in form.
The Read
Folsomprisonhooves is racing in form, placed last start beaten half a length, and recent speed and form are both listed as strengths. Experience is also a positive factor. Class remains a concern and there is no standout speed figure, but the recent consistency provides the main case here.
Key factors driving the rating up (▲) and down (▼).
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Show 3 matchupsHide matchups
Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.
Loujen Francaise vs Stormy Reign
Loujen Francaise finished 7th to 8th at Moruya a fortnight ago, a head clear.
Rawano vs Loujen Francaise
Rawano finished 7th to 8th at Nowra 4 months ago, 1.8 lengths clear.
Rosary Sister vs Rawano
Rosary Sister finished 3rd to 6th at Goulburn last month, 2.1 lengths clear.
Rosary Sister
1🔧 Visors first time.J: Pierre Boudvillain · T: Anthony Warren
Quickest recent time figure in field, 6.8 lengths faster than track average.
Anthony Warren in form, 70% above expectation last 100 runners.
Placed last start, beaten 5.5 lengths, racing fit and ready.
Barrier 1 drawn to get soft run in the race.
The Read
Rosary Sister holds the quickest recent time figure in the field at 6.8 lengths per km under the track average, establishing genuine speed credentials. It was placed last start beaten 5.5 lengths showing current form, and Anthony Warren is in exceptional form at 70% above expectation across his last 100 runners. A soft barrier 1 draw completes a cohesive picture, though class remains a concern that sits opposite the best speed strength.
Pride Of Hazel
8J: Michael Heagney · T: Pat Murphy
Pat Murphy in form. 33% above expectation last 100 runners.
Wide barrier 8 of 8 to overcome from gate.
The Read
Pride Of Hazel has recent speed as a strength, offset by concerns in recent form, class, and jockey form. Pat Murphy is in form (33% above expectation), but that alone cannot carry the case given the wider form picture. The wide barrier 8 of 8 is a significant additional hurdle to monitor.
Over Folsomprisonhooves?
The wide barrier and late run. Folsomprisonhooves will find the front early, which should suit a runner coming from barrier seven. Pat Murphy's in form and Pride Of Hazel is 2kg better off than when they last met. From the widest barrier though, it needs to navigate across and hit the line harder than it did then.
Full Field
The read on each runner - look past the pick for value.
Rosary Sister⚔️ Danger🔧 Visors first time.
J: Pierre Boudvillain · T: Anthony Warren
Rosary Sister holds the quickest recent time figure in the field at 6.8 lengths per km under the track average, establishing genuine speed credentials. It was placed last start beaten 5.5 lengths showing current form, and Anthony Warren is in exceptional form at 70% above expectation across his last 100 runners. A soft barrier 1 draw completes a cohesive picture, though class remains a concern that sits opposite the best speed strength.
Stormy Reign
J: Teaghan Martin · T: G G Kirkup
Stormy Reign resumes today with a poor first-up record (0 from 5 attempts) and has never won on soft from 8 tries on that surface. Concerns are spread across recent form, recent speed, class, and jockey form, with no standout speed figure to provide a counter-narrative. The soft barrier 2 draw is the sole positive, making this a difficult case to build.
Hard Yards⏱️ Trialled well🔧 Blinkers first time, winkers off first time.
J: Nick Heywood · T: Matthew Dale
Hard Yards resumes today off an encouraging barrier trial second, beaten only a nose, which suggests fitness and readiness. However, the case is undermined by concerns across recent form, recent speed, best speed, and class, with no standout speed figure to offset those weaknesses. First-time blinkers are being applied as a sharpening measure - worth monitoring to see if the gear change produces an uplift.
FolsomprisonhoovesTOP PICK🔧 Bubble cheeker (near side) first time.
J: Robyn Freeman · T: T J Wilson
Folsomprisonhooves is racing in form, placed last start beaten half a length, and recent speed and form are both listed as strengths. Experience is also a positive factor. Class remains a concern and there is no standout speed figure, but the recent consistency provides the main case here.
Rawano
J: Coriah Keatings · T: Gary Crossley
Rawano owns one of the quickest recent time figures in the field at 5.1 lengths per km under the track average, suggesting genuine acceleration. However, it resumes today with a poor first-up record (0 from 3 attempts) and has never won on soft from 16 attempts on that surface. Trainer form is flagged as a concern alongside recent form and class, though Coriah Keatings is riding 29% above expectation. The speed figure is the main positive, but the wet-ground record and resuming pattern are key questions.
Loujen Francaise
J: Deep Shanker · T: John Morrison
Loujen Francaise resumes today with a poor first-up record (0 from 4 attempts), usually needing a run before winning. Unproven in the wet with no wins from 13 soft-ground attempts, and recent form is flagged as a concern. Deep Shanker is riding 55% above expectation, but the wide barrier 7 of 8 adds another layer of difficulty to overcome.
Pride Of Hazel🎯 Next Best
J: Michael Heagney · T: Pat Murphy
Pride Of Hazel has recent speed as a strength, offset by concerns in recent form, class, and jockey form. Pat Murphy is in form (33% above expectation), but that alone cannot carry the case given the wider form picture. The wide barrier 8 of 8 is a significant additional hurdle to monitor.