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Balaklava · Race 1 · 1600m · Good 3 · $25,000

Sportsbet Race Replays Mdn Plate

Wed, 11 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT

🎯

Race Analysis

Standout

Ludina is clear of the rest on our numbers.

Standout

Clear order

Two-horse race

Open race

Big field

🎯 The winner is in our three

75% our three

3

Ludina

Top pick

places 70%

47%

1

Tassoro

Danger

places 41%

19%

5

Booma Bay

Next Best

places 22%

9%

+4

The other 4between them

25%

Win chances from our ratings, place chances worked out from them. A guide to how open the race is, not a promise.

🧮What is pulling each rating

The things lifting or holding back every runner in the race, strongest first.

Swipe the grid sideways for every signal

RunnerTallyRecent formAge & sexClassJockey formLate speedRunning styleTrainer formBest speedRecent speed
3Ludina1
1Tassoro2
5Booma Bay3

The rest of the field

2St Dominic5
4My Iva3
6Hood Rat6
7Fabulous One4
lifts its rating holds it back

🏁How they will settle

A speed map from where each runner has been settling in its recent starts.

RailFront of the field first

Settles back · runs on late

1Tassoro2St Dominic4My Iva5Booma Bay6Hood Rat

No set pattern · could go either way

3Ludina7Fabulous One

On the speed · likes to lead

None

🔁Head to head

Where Ludina has met others in today's field, and how the weights have moved since. A starting point for your own form study.

Show 3 matchups

Where two runners other than our pick have raced each other before. Most recent meeting shown.

Hood Rat vs My Iva

Hood Rat finished 5th to 8th at Strathalbyn a fortnight ago, 1.8 lengths clear.

Tassoro vs Hood Rat

Tassoro finished 2nd to 5th at Gawler 6 months ago, 2.2 lengths clear.

Tassoro vs St Dominic

Tassoro finished 8th to 12th at Murray Bridge GH a fortnight ago, 3.7 lengths clear.

🐎The field

Every runner in the race, our three first. Tap a number to jump to that horse, and a read to open it.

Jump to a runner

3

Ludina

Top pick
JConnor Murtagh·THazel Fertier

Last starts

2823

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

56.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▲ Recent form🚀Late Speed

Ludina has among the quickest recent time figures in the field, 0.3 lengths a km under the track average, and its recent form is a clear strength. It was placed last start, beaten half a length, and the Hazel Fertier/Connor Murtagh combo is striking 883% above expectation (last 100). It is also drawn to get a soft run from barrier 3.

Read more
1

Tassoro

Danger
JCampbell Rawiller·TMick Kluske

Last starts

8645

Career

0 wins from 10

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Trainer form▼ Class🎯Sit 'n' Shoot⚡Speed King🔧 Blinkers off first time.

Tassoro owns the quickest recent time figure in the field, 3.1 lengths a km under the track average, which is the main reason its case stands out. It also has a soft run from barrier 1, but trainer form and class are both concerns. The first-time blinkers are the thing to watch, as the gear change is untested.

Read more
5

Booma Bay

Next Best
JTeagan Voorham·TRobert Atkinson

Last starts

4795

Career

0 wins from 11

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Late speed▼ Running style▼ Jockey form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
2

St Dominic

JAndrew Stead·TKylie Schulz

Last starts

0403

Career

0 wins from 14

Weight

58.0kg

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Recent speed▼ Best speed▼ Late speed🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

Kylie Schulz is in form, 27% above expectation across the last 100 runners, and the horse is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 2. Recent form, recent speed, best speed and late speed are all concerns, and there is no standout speed figure to lean on.

Read more
4

My Iva

JAlyssa Webb·TW F Francis & G Kent

Last starts

0880

Career

0 wins from 8

Weight

53.0kg-3

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Age & sex▼ Class🎯Sit 'n' Shoot
6

Hood Rat

JS H Sit·TMs J Virgin

Last starts

5750

Career

0 wins from 30

Weight

56.0kg-0.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Recent form▼ Class▼ Running style▼ Trainer form🎯Sit 'n' Shoot

Hood Rat's case is held back by concerns over recent form, class, running style and trainer form, and it has no standout speed figure to offset them. The main issue is the draw, a wide barrier 6 of 7 to overcome, which is the thing to watch.

Read more
7

Fabulous One

JStacey Metcalfe·TRaharna McDonald

Last starts

4585

Career

0 wins from 4

Weight

56.0kg-1.5

Class

Same, Maiden
▼ Class▼ Recent form▼ Age & sex▼ Jockey form

Raharna McDonald is in form, 29% above expectation across the last 100 runners. Class, recent form, age and sex, and jockey form are all concerns, and there is no standout speed figure. The wide barrier 7 of 7 to overcome is the main thing to watch.

Read more

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tips are statistical estimates built from public form data for information only - not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.