English Premier League Tips & Predictions

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Bournemouth get the nod here, though this is genuinely tight. They're sharp early - ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 4 - and they've been wasteful in front of goal, so expect them to be dangerous at home. The catch is they fade badly after the break, outscored in the second half in 3 of 4 games, which is why this looks like a 1-1 type of affair. Watch whether Liverpool can tighten up defensively in the second half and punish Bournemouth's familiar second-half dip.

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Leeds United are the better side here, rated 9th against Palace's 16th, and they've got momentum with three goals conceded in four games and a habit of starting fast. Palace have lost three of their last four and consistently find themselves behind at half-time, which plays into Leeds' hands at home. The catch is both teams are underperforming in front of goal relative to their chances, which points to a tight game. Watch whether Leeds can convert their early pressure into a lead or whether Palace's underlying quality keeps them in it for a 1-1 type finish.

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Man City are clear favourites here. They're rated 2nd in the league against a Sunderland side sitting 15th, they've won their last 4 games, and they've been tight at the back with only 2 goals conceded in 4 outings. The key edge is their strong second halves - they've won the half after the break in 3 of their last 4 games, and Sunderland have a tendency to fade after the interval, outscored in the second half in 2 of their 4 games. A 2-0 type of game is the read. Watch whether Sunderland can stay competitive early, as their one genuine asset on the road this season could keep them in it before City's second-half dominance takes over.

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Man United are the higher-rated side here, sitting 3rd in the league against a Fulham team languishing 12th, and that gap feels real given United finished 8 places clear last season. But this is a toss-up - Fulham are playing better than their winless run in four games suggests, their underlying numbers are solid, and they're being let down by poor finishing rather than poor chances. The wrinkle is that United have been riding their luck lately, picking up points their actual performances don't quite justify, while Fulham's second-half fade means they could easily slip away if it stays tight. Expect a cagey game that ends level.

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Nottingham have a clear edge here. They're rated 10th in the league against a Coventry side sitting 20th who are winless in their last four, and playing at home gives Nottingham another advantage. Coventry are a newly promoted side who start slow (behind at half-time in 3 of their last 4) and fade after the break, while they've been leaky defensively with 10 conceded in 4 games. Watch whether Nottingham can make their home advantage and superior defensive shape count early, as Coventry's vulnerability to quick starts could open the door to a decisive first-half performance.

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Everton have the edge here and we fancy them, though this won't be a bloodbath. They're rated considerably stronger than newly promoted Ipswich, they're at home, and crucially they're tight at the back with just three goals conceded in four games while Ipswich have leaked ten in the same span. The catch is Everton struggle to create chances and like to sit deep, so don't expect a goal fest. The key thing to watch is whether Ipswich's open, loose defending gets exposed by Everton's intensity at home, or whether Everton's blunt attack means Ipswich stay in the contest. A 1-1 draw feels like the most likely outcome given how this shapes up.

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Arsenal are the stronger side on paper and they're in the form of their lives, winning four straight with a miserly defence that's only let in one goal. But Brighton at home are no pushover - they're third for defensive tightness, quick starters who've led at the break twice in four, and they've got real second-half teeth. Arsenal's own second-half dominance is their trump card here, but the way both teams can turn it on after the break suggests this won't be a comfortable win for the visitors. A 1-1 draw feels like the fairest read. The key thing to watch is whether Brighton can stay compact early and nick a first-half lead - that's where they bite hardest, and it's their best chance to nick something from a side that doesn't know how to lose right now.

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Newcastle are the better side on paper and have home advantage, which tips this in their favour, but Hull City arrive here sharp - they've started well in recent games and have tightened up defensively with just 2 goals conceded in their last 4. Newcastle's problem is they're slow starters who've been behind at half-time twice in their last four outings, and this looks like a game where both teams will cancel each other out. Back a 1-1 draw as the likeliest outcome, with the key thing to watch Hull's early intent in the first half - if they get ahead quickly, Newcastle's sluggish habits could leave them chasing the game.

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Both sides are winless in four and playing better than their league position suggests, each hampered by poor finishing when chances have come. Tottenham hold the edge at home and look tighter defensively, which tips this one their way, but Villa's quality keeps it razor-thin. The key thing to watch is the second half, where both teams have leaked goals in recent outings - whichever side can tighten up after the break will likely settle it.

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This is a genuine toss-up between two sides in sharp form. Brentford have the home advantage and both teams have looked dangerous early on, each ahead at half-time in 2 of their last 4 outings. Chelsea are one of the league's most potent attacks - 3rd for chances created and free-scoring at 10 in 4 games - but Brentford are tighter at the back and have the crowd at their backs. A 1-1 type of game feels right here. Watch whether Chelsea's threat on the road this season can crack a Brentford side that gives away more good chances than most.