Panthers at Eagles - NFL Tips & Prediction

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

PHICARWhat happenedWhat we expected (PHI 21, CAR 26)What the play deserved

The Panthers stayed within a score of the pace we expected all game.

Where it moved

▲ PHI better than we expected

-1Q10-3

-2Q27-7

-2Q30-3

-1Q47-12

▼ CAR better than we expected

The second quarter was where it moved most, 2 points worse than our numbers for the Eagles.

Every score

Q1 10:50FGR.Fitzgerald from 47 yards0-3
Q2 8:08TDB.Young to T.Tremble, 12 yards0-10
Q2 2:42TDD.Pierce ran it in from 2 yards7-10
Q2 2:00TDB.Young took a kick back for a touchdown7-10
Q3 11:32FGR.Fitzgerald from 52 yards7-13
Q4 13:34TDC.Hubbard from the 17-19
Q4 10:42TDT.McKee to D.Smith, 19 yards14-19
Q4 6:38TDPanthers from the 114-25

⚖️What decided it

Why the Panthers won, and why the Eagles did not.

From the game

The Eagles started Tanner McKee at quarterback, not Jalen Hurts
Out-gained them by 177 yards, 399 to 222
Won the ground game, 126 rushing yards to 35
Flagged 13 times for 149 yards

Key battles

35Rushing yards126

0Big plays7

222Total yards399

84Penalty yards149

🏈Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Eagles

Good plays

TOUCHDOWN
T.McKee to D.Smith, 19 yards
Q4 10:42 · PHI 14-19 CAR
3RD DOWN
T.McKee to D.Smith for 16 yards on 3rd & 7
Q2 5:14 · PHI 0-10 CAR
3RD DOWN
T.McKee to D.Wicks for 17 yards on 3rd & 5
Q4 13:02 · PHI 7-19 CAR

Bad plays

4TH DOWN
Turned it over on 4th & 17 at the CAR 49
Q4 4:32 · PHI 14-25 CAR
PENALTY
Illegal contact on C.DeJean, 5 yards
Q2 8:46 · PHI 0-3 CAR
SACK
T.McKee sacked on 1st & 10
Q4 5:31 · PHI 14-25 CAR

Panthers

Good plays

3RD DOWN
B.Young to J.Coker for 32 yards on 3rd & 8
Q3 4:27 · PHI 7-13 CAR
3RD DOWN
B.Young to T.McMillan for 21 yards on 3rd & 15
Q2 1:56 · PHI 7-10 CAR
4TH DOWN
C.Hubbard for 19 yards on 4th & 1
Q3 1:03 · PHI 7-13 CAR

Bad plays

PENALTY
Defensive pass interference on W.Lee, 22 yards
Q2 3:38 · PHI 0-10 CAR

📊The numbers

PHI		CAR
222	Total yards	399
3.6	Yards per play	5.4
-0.17	Points added per play	+0.04
187	Passing yards	273
35	Rushing yards	126
17	First downs	25
40%	Third downs converted	41%
100%	Red zone trips scored	75%
0	Big plays	7
0	Turnovers	0
3	Sacks taken	2
84	Penalty yards	149
25:12	Time with the ball	34:48

What's driving the pick

⏱️

How the points should come

Expect it tight at the break, Panthers should pull clear after half-time

EaglesPanthers⭐Actual

3-6

Actual 0-3

Half

12-12

Actual 7-10

16-17

Actual 7-13

Final

21-26

Actual 14-25

Eagles score 58% of their points before half-time

Our points call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.

⚡Momentum

How each side has been playing, the season, the last 5 and the last game.

Eagles

Season5 games

Last 55 games

Last gamemost recent

Panthers

Season4 games

Last 55 games, 1 from 2025

Last gamemost recent

📊

Team Stats · Head to Head

How each side is actually playing - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.

The stat map

PHI

CAR

PHI

CAR

PHI

CAR

PHI

CAR

Attack

Last 5Last game

Points scored18.430.41732

Per playBadGoodBadGreat

Yards a play4.96.24.16.3

Passing yards187306220329

Rushing yards91.610022127

Big plays3.66.618

Defence

Last 5Last game

Points allowed22.428.61926

Per playPoorPoorPoorBad

Takeaways0.61.610

Sacks1.21.621

Ball security

Last 5Last game

Giveaways1.01.200

Sacks allowed2.62.413

Discipline

Last 5Last game

Penalty yards47.261.04360

Full-game team stats from nflverse, updated after each week.

🧮Factor breakdown

How each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ratings, efficiency, form, rest, the home field and who is out. Never from betting markets.

◀ EaglesPanthers ▶

Overall rating

EPA per play

Recent form

Home field

Rest & bye week

Availability

Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.

🏆Season form guide

Eagles

Panthers

Record2-32-2

Conference12 in NFC8 in NFC

Pts for / game18.430.3

Pts against / game22.427.3

Division1-01-0

Starting QBTanner McKeeBryce Young

CAR v DET	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	4-4	6-9	7-4	7-9
Happened	7-3	9-13	13-3	3-7

CAR v CLE	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	7-7	6-7	6-4	5-6
Happened	0-0	3-10	6-0	9-11

CAR v ATL	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	5-6	6-9	6-3	8-7
Happened	10-0	10-3	14-0	0-0

CAR v CHI	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	4-5	7-5	4-4	6-10
Happened	7-14	17-17	7-14	6-14

PHI v JAX	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	3-5	6-8	3-4	5-7
Happened	0-7	14-0	0-3	3-9

A deserved win for the Panthers

⏱️How it unfolded

⚖️What decided it

🏈Good plays, bad plays

📊The numbers

What's driving the pick

⚡Momentum

Team Stats · Head to Head

The stat map

🧮Factor breakdown

🏆Season form guide

Nothing in the form changes our call

Panthers

Eagles

Public Opinion

CAR		DET
456	Total yards	458
6.3	Yards per play	6.7
+0.24	Points added per play	+0.18
27	First downs	22
8	Big plays	5
0	Turnovers	0
3	Sacks taken	1
60	Penalty yards	67

CAR		CLE
389	Total yards	276
5.3	Yards per play	4.4
-0.13	Points added per play	-0.02
21	First downs	14
7	Big plays	6
1	Turnovers	1
3	Sacks taken	2
63	Penalty yards	84

CAR		ATL
355	Total yards	302
5.9	Yards per play	4.5
+0.10	Points added per play	-0.47
17	First downs	17
6	Big plays	3
0	Turnovers	5
2	Sacks taken	3
63	Penalty yards	39

CAR		CHI
486	Total yards	560
7.8	Yards per play	8.0
+0.26	Points added per play	+0.48
22	First downs	24
8	Big plays	9
3	Turnovers	1
2	Sacks taken	2
84	Penalty yards	57

PHI		JAX
242	Total yards	433
4.1	Yards per play	6.4
-0.20	Points added per play	+0.06
11	First downs	18
1	Big plays	8
0	Turnovers	1
1	Sacks taken	2
43	Penalty yards	100

PHI		LAR
197	Total yards	423
3.4	Yards per play	5.5
-0.29	Points added per play	+0.03
10	First downs	23
2	Big plays	4
0	Turnovers	2
4	Sacks taken	1
57	Penalty yards	100

PHI		CHI
260	Total yards	375
5.5	Yards per play	5.4
-0.23	Points added per play	+0.03
13	First downs	20
5	Big plays	4
3	Turnovers	0
2	Sacks taken	0
61	Penalty yards	45

PHI		WSH
339	Total yards	296
6.4	Yards per play	4.4
+0.07	Points added per play	+0.06
10	First downs	19
6	Big plays	5
0	Turnovers	0
3	Sacks taken	1
40	Penalty yards	45

PHI v TEN	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Expected	5-4	10-4	6-2	5-9
Happened	0-7	14-3	3-7	7-3